The crypto market movers headed into this week with muted volatility but investors beware three critical events could inject fresh momentum into Bitcoin and Ethereum valuations. From U.S. monetary policy to massive ETF inflows and Ethereum network upgrades here’s what traders and HODLers need to watch.
U.S. Federal Reserve Holds Rates and Signals a Data‑Driven Path Ahead
July 30, 2025: U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates at 4.25 4.50 percent but two are dissenting and it is indicative that there was increasingly serious debate within the Fed on when to cut rates. Powell, the Fed Chair, stressed that the kind of policy that should be used in the future depends on the input of the data, rather than its preset plans. Markets now believe odds of a September rate reduction are at about 46% as inflation cools a little and the GDP registered a good 3% rise in a year.
What to watch this week:
- Upcoming consumer inflation or employment data strong prints may push BTC/Eth lower due to tighter financial conditions.
- Any dovish tone or signals of future easing could quickly boost risk-on assets like crypto.
Ethereum ETF Inflows Surge While Bitcoin ETFs Normalize
July was a record month for crypto ETFs netting a whopping $12.8 billion in inflows. While Bitcoin ETFs absorbed roughly $6 billion, Spot Ethereum ETFs surged with approximately $5.4 billion outperforming BTC inflows significantly.
Meanwhile, Ethereum led price performance, jumping nearly 54% in July hitting over $3,800 even as Bitcoin tightened range between $118K–$120K.
This week, monitor:
- ETF inflow trends whether Ethereum demand stays elevated and whether Bitcoin sees renewed strength.
- Potential ETF outflow risks: recent reports mark the second-largest outflow day for Bitcoin ETFs $812M and Ethereum ETFs $153M in 2025.
Ethereum’s Upcoming Pectra Upgrade and Network Developments
Ethereum’s strong momentum isn’t just demand-driven its roadmap also plays a big role. The Pectra upgrade expected in mid to late 2025 includes innovations like EIP‑7251 which enables validator consolidation 32–2,048 ETH boosting staking capacity and network scalability.
Institutional accumulation combined with technical developments fuels the bullish case for Ethereum potentially propelling it beyond $3,800 $4,000 in the near term.
Bonus Catalyst: White House Digital Asset Report and Crypto Policy Signals
The White House’s recently released report “Strengthening American Leadership in Digital Financial Technology” reiterated federal support for blockchain adoption and the proposed Crypto Reserve using seized Bitcoin and other assets although no concrete action is expected soon.
Investor focus also turns to regulatory updates around the GENIUS Act CLARITY Act and the Anti CBDC Act all of which may shape institutional appetite and sentiment.
Market Sentiment & Technical Outlook
While Bitcoin currently consolidates around $118K–$120K, Ethereum continues to outperform, supported by ETF flows and upgrade anticipation. The ETF store inflow data rising derivatives activity and technical signals like BTC’s Golden Cross provide additional context.
Key levels to watch:
- BTC support: ~$117K and resistance: ~$123K
- ETH rally zone: $3,600–$3,800, with strong momentum toward $4,000
Conclusion
This week holds potential triggers that could nudge the crypto market higher—or expose vulnerabilities:
- Skip or dovish Fed signals possible bullish reversal
- Continued Ethereum ETF inflows relative to Bitcoin ETF flows selective upside
- Success of the Ethereum upgrade roadmap broader ETH-led ecosystem growth
Be sure to keep tabs on official announcements ETF dashboards, and technical charts. Reactive moves may surround these events but well-informed strategies could capture the next wave early.